Pedestrian Path Prediction with Recursive Bayesian Filters: A Comparative Study

In the context of intelligent vehicles, we perform a comparative study on recursive Bayesian filters for pedestrian path prediction at short time horizons (< 2s). We consider Extended Kalman Filters (EKF) based on single dynamical models and Interacting Multiple Models (IMM) combining several such basic models (constant velocity/acceleration/turn). These are applied to four typical pedestrian motion types (crossing, stopping, bending in, starting). Position measurements are provided by an external state-of-the-art stereo vision-based pedestrian detector. We investigate the accuracy of position estimation and path prediction, and the benefit of the IMMs vs. the simpler single dynamical models. Special care is given to the proper sensor modeling and parameter optimization. The dataset and evaluation framework are made public to facilitate benchmarking.